11.06.2026
Reading time 7 min

Predictions for the 2026 World Cup: Who Will Take the Trophy?

World Cup 2026: Guardian writers’ predictions for the tournament

Projected Finalists and Potential Winners

Analysts envision a thrilling final between Spain and Portugal, with Spain tipped to claim victory. Alexander Abnos, who has extensively used the Bracketology tool, remarked, “The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Raymond James Stadium is a cathedral of sport”

Nick Ames predicts a rematch between France and Argentina, asserting, “Spain have arrived in downtown Chattanooga” Similarly, Ella Brockway anticipates a showdown featuring Lamine Yamal’s Spain against Lionel Messi’s Argentina, saying, “The world’s largest coffee pot was flown to St Louis to follow Bosnia and Herzegovina”

Ben Fisher believes France will triumph over Portugal in the final. Bryan Armen Graham is optimistic about England’s chances to defeat France, citing their depth and talent, stating, “it’s a big club and you ain’t in it”

Barry Glendenning expects Spain to face France in the final, suggesting, “Maybe the French will prevail.” David Hytner supports the French team, highlighting their offensive capabilities under Didier Deschamps, claiming, “France to beat Argentina. Deschamps has the attacking talent to make the difference when it matters the most.”

Lamine Yamal scores Spain’s first goal during the Euro 2024 semi-final against France in Munich

Paul MacInnes shares optimism for England, predicting Spain will win if they meet in the knockout rounds. Ewan Murray foresees a repeat of the France-Argentina matchup, believing France will take the trophy this time. Osasu Obayiuwana concurs, stating that France has the depth to secure a third title, possibly against Argentina.

Jeff Rueter believes Spain will enhance their rivalry with Portugal by achieving a memorable victory. Max Rushden expresses uncertainty, saying, “When I plotted it out a few weeks ago I had France beating Argentina…So Spain. Or France. Or, no I won’t say it … could we?” Leander Schaerlaeckens predicts a French victory over Argentina, citing their talent and experience. Jacob Steinberg feels Argentina may fall to Spain in the final if Spain’s wingers perform well.

Jonathan Wilson suggests France will defeat Spain, indicating that injuries and fatigue may impede Spain’s performance.

Golden Boot Contenders

Mikel Oyarzabal is widely regarded as a leading candidate for the Golden Boot. One analyst noted, “The Spain forward has the chance to rack up goals against Cape Verde in the group stage and will presumably be playing deep into the tournament.”

France’s Kylian Mbappé takes on Côte d’Ivoire’s Wilfried Singo during their friendly meeting in Nantes this month.

Scotland’s Ché Adams scores his second goal past Yomar Rocha of Bolivia in New Jersey

Harry Kane is also seen as a strong contender; one analyst stated, “Even if he may not lift the trophy, Kane is in irrepressible nick and could get enough joy in England’s first four games to rack up a decisive lead.”

Another prediction suggests Kane might lead England to a semi-final against Argentina, asserting that a goal in the third-place match could secure him the top scorer title. Kane’s reliability is emphasized by another commentator, who remarked, “He is so reliable and England’s opening fixtures are not too demanding…”

Many believe Kylian Mbappé could become the first player to win the Golden Boot twice. One comment underscores that he possesses both the finishing quality and the potential for multiple matches, stating, “Few players in this year’s tournament combine his finishing quality with the likelihood of playing seven or eight matches.”

Another analyst is confident Oyarzabal could net enough early goals to claim the prize, while some suggest that even if a team does not progress far, a player like Norway’s Erling Haaland could emerge as a leading scorer. One pointed out that Gary Lineker won the Golden Boot in 1986 despite England not advancing past the quarter-finals.

In such a competitive field, Kane’s excellent form heading into the tournament is seen as a significant advantage. Another analyst has high hopes for Mbappé, asserting he will be a primary attacking force for France and a penalty taker, with a chance to break Miroslav Klose’s all-time record.

Potential Surprise Teams

Several experts are placing their bets on Ecuador as the surprise team of the tournament. One analyst stated, “The South Americans let in a ridiculous five goals through 18 games of qualifying and will enjoy strong support. I have them making the semi-finals.”

Brazil’s Vinícius Júnior challenges Moisés Caicedo of Ecuador during a World Cup qualifier in Curitiba.

Another highlighted their world-class defense, noting Moisés Caicedo’s midfield talent and their ability to compete in any match. Ecuador’s strong defensive record is viewed as an asset, despite concerns regarding their scoring capabilities.

Erling Haaland celebrates one of his two goals in a 4-1 victory for Norway in Italy during World Cup qualifying

The resurgence of Norway, reaching their first World Cup since 1998, is also acknowledged, with Erling Haaland’s goal-scoring ability being a key factor. Japan is mentioned as a team to watch, even if they emerge from a challenging group.

Morocco’s players go on the charge after their penalty shootout victory over Spain at the 2022 World Cup

Senegal’s potential to challenge any opponent is recognized, particularly as they seek redemption after a disappointing Afcon campaign. Another analyst reflected on Ecuador’s impressive qualifying performance and solid defense, suggesting they may surprise many.

Japan’s tactical approach, despite a difficult group, is noted, along with the potential of promising teams like Norway and Ecuador, who could all meet in the knockout stages. Cape Verde’s World Cup debut is also anticipated, as they are well-prepared and will not be underestimated.

When it comes to emerging stars, analysts are eager to see if players like Yan Diomandé from Côte d’Ivoire and Gilberto Mora from Mexico can shine on the global stage.

Breakthrough Players to Watch

Several young talents are expected to make an impact, with Gilberto Mora highlighted for his maturity and creativity at just 17. Another writer expresses hope for Antonio Nusa of Norway, suggesting he could thrive despite being overshadowed by teammates.

Diomandé is also recognized as a player to watch, with scouts closely monitoring his performances. Rayan, a 19-year-old Brazilian, is anticipated to make waves following his impressive showing in the Premier League.

Nusa, often referred to as the Norwegian Neymar, is expected to announce himself on a grand stage, especially with Norway’s return to the World Cup in focus.

Arda Güler from Turkey is mentioned as a player with the potential to shine in a winnable group. Japan’s Keito Nakamura and Mexico’s Mora are also highlighted as players likely to have breakout moments.

Lamine Yamal is expected to seize the opportunity to showcase his talent if given the chance. One analyst believes this World Cup could serve as his platform to make a lasting impression.

Argentina midfielder Nico Paz steps on the gas against Zambia in Buenos Aires

Others point to Ibrahim Maza of Algeria as a promising young player gaining attention. With the potential for standout performances, many eyes will be on these emerging prospects.

Anticipated Highlights Beyond the Matches

Many writers are curious about Iran’s performance amid political and social challenges affecting their preparations. One noted, “I don’t know that I’d necessarily say I’m ‘looking forward’ to this, but I am extremely interested to see how Iran perform…”

Others are eager to see if Alexander Isak can produce memorable moments if he overcomes his injury troubles. The potential for teams like Morocco and Senegal to replicate their prior successes adds to the excitement.

Japan’s knack for pulling off surprises in recent tournaments is acknowledged, particularly with their recent upsets against major teams. The possibility of a strong run from Japan is recognized, despite concerns about player absences.

There is a sense of nostalgia surrounding veteran players who may be participating in their final World Cup, with analysts recalling Edin Dzeko and Luka Modric.

Interest in Cape Verde’s Roberto ‘Pico’ Lopes is evident, alongside palpable enthusiasm around England’s squad under Thomas Tuchel.

Additionally, there is a desire to experience the warmth and hospitality of the United States, along with the unique stories that typically emerge during a World Cup.

Many look forward to the cultural exchanges and human connections that a global tournament can foster, underscoring the joy and community football brings.

As observers anticipate the blend of footballing skill and cultural richness, discussions about FIFA’s commercial aspects and the high costs of attending matches are part of the conversation.

Overall, the upcoming tournament promises thrilling moments, emerging talents, and memorable experiences both on and off the pitch.

As the tournament nears, there is hope that the United States and Canada will embrace the sport, creating a lasting legacy for football in North America.

In summary, many expect the camaraderie and shared experiences that come with participating in the World Cup, despite the surrounding controversies.

Expectations are elevated, and the stage is set for an extraordinary showcase of footballing talent, cultural exchange, and unforgettable memories.